| The Worlds Most Exciting Accountant | |
| By Art Kleiner | |
| Published in strategy
+ business, Summer 2004 |
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NYU Professor Baruch Lev finds vast value in intangible assets.
As it happened, Professor Lev, who specializes in valuing trademarks and patents, had recently hit a turning point in his research. After performing a series of in-depth comparisons of corporate asset values (book values) and share prices, he had concluded that the financial reporting methods used by nearly all corporations the methods codified by the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and required of public companies by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) were giving exactly the wrong impression of the real comparative worth of corporations. In growth industries, in particular, the accounting numbers consistently overstated the value of physical assets (like buildings and machinery) and consistently underestimated other assets, especially the so-called intangibles that were, in the early 1990s, just coming to be seen as critical sources of corporate competitiveness. These assets include research and development, intellectual property (especially in the form of patents, trademarks, and copyrights), brand names (and the customer loyalty they engender), software, secret formulas, training and development, reputation (such as the reputation for good governance or environmental sustainability), unique team capabilities and work processes (now coming to be known as organizational capital), and any other distinctive form of corporate know-how. Later, Professor Lev came to use phrases like perverse distortions and worse than useless to describe standard accounting practices, but at the time, he merely told the aide that they represented a deficiency because they omitted intangibles. The aide called back with a quick follow-up question from Senator Lieberman: Wheres the harm? What do you mean? asked Professor Lev. The senator isnt really interested in accounting issues, the aide elaborated. He wants to know what damage there might be to the economy, to society, to investors, or to institutions. And if there isnt any kind of serious harm, why should we worry about this? Although Professor Lev has given his fair share of expert testimony on the harm caused by corrupt and careless accounting practices in the last decade, he says the phone call from Senator Liebermans office sparked a profound change in his thinking about the scope and severity of the harm caused by conventional and legal accounting practices. Since then, first at Berkeley, then as dean of the business school at Tel Aviv University, and now at New York Universitys Stern School of Business (where he is the Philip Bardes Professor of Accounting and Finance and the Director of the Vincent C. Ross Institute of Accounting Research), Professor Lev has devoted much of his time to exposing the harm in prevailing accounting rules and pushing to have them changed. Maverick Measurer The movement to account for intangibles took on fad status during the technology bubble years of the late 1990s, and has lost some momentum as attention has turned to dealing with accounting abuses. Nonetheless, Professor Levs basic argument has never lost its relevance, or importance. His ideas for new accounting methods and the revision of longtime standards are likely to receive renewed attention as senior executives are compelled to develop knowledge assets, outsource more, and pursue other imperatives of global competition that require them to identify all the potential sources of value in their firms, and then make those sources tangible. Baruch Levs pioneering work on intangibles has been a wake-up call for the entire profession, says Berkeley Economics Professor Hal R. Varian, coauthor, with Carl Shapiro, of Information Rules: A Strategic Guide to the Network Economy (Harvard Business School Press, 1998). In the accounting world, he has been pushing longer and harder than most on this particular issue. In particular, the NYU professor has become a kind of Cassandra figure to the prevailing regulators of corporate activity: the FASB and the SEC. He contends that the legal structure of accounting rules, as enshrined in Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) and SEC regulations, is fundamentally flawed. The rules havent been changed much since the invention of accounting 500 years ago, says Professor Lev. And theyre far from perfect. Every company, he argues, should have to disclose, in fine-grained detail, its assessments of future risks, its expenses in human development, its research costs, and other information about its investments in intangibles. Until then, investors will reward the wrong managers, and the economy will continue to spin off course. In person, Baruch Lev is a trim, bespectacled man in his 60s who has the qualities you might expect in a maverick accounting professor: an informal style of dress and speech, overlaid by a cerebral and severe mien, with flashes of sardonic humor. He has laid out his position in a variety of books and articles. Several articles are collected in a recent anthology, Intangible Assets: Values, Measures, and Risks, coedited with University of North Carolina Professor John Hand (Oxford University Press, 2003). Others canbe found on his Web site: http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~blev/. But his clearest, most articulate statement appears in a letter he wrote to the Senate Commerce Committee in March 2002 as a follow-up to testimony he gave on the collapse of Enron. In that letter, he named four basic elements that are missing or understated in most estimates of corporate worth: Intangibles. The value of research and development, patents, trademarks, brands, supply chains, secret formulas, training and development, and many other nonphysical assets that show up only as expenses on the balance sheet; Extended Enterprise. The alliances, joint ventures, and partnerships that foster innovation in many companies; Future Commitments. The unexecuted obligations and promises that each organization must redeem in the future (for instance, Enrons financial reports didnt acknowledge its future obligation to make good on the losses sustained by its offshore partnerships); Financial Risks and Prospects. The value or liability inherent in financial risks that the company has embraced for example, through the use of derivatives, hedge funds, and stock options and in their vulnerability to changes in interest or foreign exchange rates. Circle of Harm In most companies, he told me recently, you dont get the vaguest idea of how much training was cut during the last three recession years. Companies dont report anything about brand enhancement investment or R&D investment. They report information on technology expenditures, but they dont break it down; you dont know how much is hardware versus software, or how much is long term versus short term. Everything is buried in a single figure for general operating expenses one huge garbage can. There are dozens of ways that the contents of that garbage can could be sorted out and differentiated. Indeed, much of Professor Levs work consists of finding measures of intangible investment inputs like the money spent on training or research, and outputs like the value of patents or quality of new patents. The critical step is linking such measures to financial performance especially to changes in revenues and share prices. To accomplish this, Professor Lev tracks changes in performance over time, and statistically compares the fluctuations to particular changes in investment or other measures of intangible worth. With enough of a sample base, this allows him to estimate the financial impact of a dollar invested in this particular company in, say, process redesign or brand redefinition. Under this kind of analysis, commonly perceived liabilities such as marketing commissions paid to build a customer base are often revealed as assets. When you walk into a Circuit City and buy a cell phone, says Professor Lev, the mobile phone carrier might pay $200 to $300 to the retailer. Because customers stay with a carrier three to four years on average, these commissions are investments. But they show up on the balance sheet as expenses sometimes adding up to hundreds of millions of dollars, thereby unfairly discounting the perceived value of the most customer-driven mobile phone companies. In the vicious circle of harm, analysts and investors denigrate companies for making investments in productive intangibles. Their stock price sinks and their cost of capital rises, which pressures companies to reduce spending in such intangible areas as R&D, marketing, and training. This erodes the companys distinctive capabilities still further, which often forces it to compete on price instead of distinction. In other words, the company turns its products into commodities, and margins decline. As the cycle continues, the stock price descends further, pressuring the company to reduce investment in intangibles still more. A company spiraling down like this can lose the core of its competitive advantage without anyones being aware that there was ever any alternative. Cost of Complacency For most of its history, the chemical industry was an innovation leader. E.I. DuPont de Nemours and Company helped invent the modern research and development lab in 1903 with its famous Experimental Station (or Ex Station), where nylon, Lycra, polyester, Mylar, and many other well-known modern substances were invented. Other major producers, like the Dow Chemical Company, were similarly innovative through the 1970s. But then lethargy set in. As Baruch Lev and David Aboody, an assistant professor of accounting at UCLA, put it in a recent report for the Council for Chemical Research, Evidence suggests the presence of a certain complacency, and perhaps even disillusionment with investment in innovation in the chemical industry. For the past decade or so, people in this industry have seen research labs atrophy, funding for new initiatives decrease, and a general spirit of financial hunkering-down. The number of patents awarded annually to chemical companies decreased during the 1990s from 2,942 in 1989 to 2,722 in 1998. At the same time, according to Professor Lev, the chemical industrys investment in basic long-term research eroded, with funds moving to short-term research de-signed to tweak features of current technology. Indeed, during the 10 years between 1989 and 1998, according to Professor Levs figures, R&D spending by major chemical companies remained basically flat (at $3.25 billion), while R&D spending by major pharmaceutical companies increased, on average, by 22 percent per year. Looking more closely, Professor Lev and his colleagues found that the R&D investment drove profitability not the other way around. Analyzing changes in R&D investment against changes in operating income over the two decades from 1980 through 1999, they found that a dollar spent on research in the chemical industry yielded, on average, a rate of return of 26.6 percent, or 17 percent after taxes. To be sure, it typically takes seven years to realize the return, but the amount is enough to compensate for the risk that research will not pan out. Moreover, companies in any industry that emphasize basic research the kind in which researchers follow their own noses appear to enjoy higher returns. In other words, having a relatively unfettered basic R&D function is a surefire way to prevent commoditization, as long as you can capitalize on the results. Unfortunately, this causal link between research expense and financial return does not appear on any spreadsheet in most companies. Todays prevailing corporate preference for applied over basic research may itself be an artifact not of research priorities, but of accounting rules. In 2001, Baruch Lev presented his data on R&D rates of return to the DuPont board. On the spot, they extended the session by an extra four hours. These are important issues, he says one of the board members told him. But [advocates of long-term research] usually come to us with fiction. You came with numbers. The following year, DuPonts new CEO, Charles O. (Chad) Holliday, set in motion a plan to revive the Ex Station and revitalize long-term research; Forbes published a detailed report of the plans in March 2003. But then in December, DuPont announced an aggressive move to trim $900 million in costs, with no mention of long-term research at all. Its hard to judge a company from such scattered details, and thats precisely Professor Levs point. Without clearly reported, relatively standard data about a companys spending on research and development (or training, or supply chain management), we are blind about its true prospects. In such a situation, companies that want to gain the trust of investors must therefore promise to cut costs instead of pursuing a strategy that would serve everyone employees, managers, customers, investors, and society better in the long run. By contrast, Professor Levs research shows that companies that voluntarily document and disclose this kind of information unilaterally tend to see profits rise and, especially, the volatility of their stock price decrease. Surprises, whether good or bad, startle and upset investors. Disclosure is an important way to diminish surprises. His primary examples in this argument are pharmaceutical companies, which have gotten used to disclosing information on research as part of their Food and Drug Administration approval processes and which, according to Professor Lev, have seen their stock prices rise routinely after disclosures. Even with evidence of the value in more detailed and transparent accounting, its hard to get managers to collect and document the data needed to measure the value of intangibles. At one major multinational pharmaceutical company, Professor Lev tried to get performance and productivity results for people who had gone through a popular training program. The head of the training program blocked the study, apparently for fear of finding out that it wasnt actually making a difference. Long-Term Battle Yet the hurdles and resistance to accounting reforms dont discourage
Professor Lev. Indeed, he seems cheerful about the reforms long-run
prospects. After all, he says, such simple data as sales and cash flow
were once routinely hidden from outsiders, until stock exchange rules
forced companies to disclose them. If hes right, then sooner or
later regulators or perhaps companies themselves will force
a similar kind of switch concerning the value of nonphysical assets. Even
in the history of accounting, stranger things have happened.© |
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