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As if all this turmoil weren't enough, there has been a growing mistrust
of the effectiveness of advertising itself - at least from clients using
mainstream television advertising. Proctor & Gamble President John Pepper
found the fear that advertising had lost its punch so disquieting, he
spoke out against the idea at a recent meeting of the American Association
of Advertising Agencies- he later barred distribution of that speech.
But if Pepper hoped to sway the attitudes of fellow executives, he was
too late. A seminal report from SRI International Values and Lifestyles-
the unfortunately titled "Lifestyle Marketing," by Charles Hampden-Turner
and Franklin Carlile- had already showed that business executives mistrust
advertising. The study, which quoted a 1985 survey of product managers
in 28 countries, found that American business executives, in particular,
extolled the energy that U.S. companies put behind their sales efforts.
Only the Japanese perceived themselves to be more assiduous marketers.
But for all the money and effort that we invest, American business executives
said, U.S. companies still haven't been able to convince consumers that
we produce quality products. Business executives from Brazil, Austria,
Saudi Arabia and New Zealand all had more faith in the reputations of
the products they make that Americans had in American goods. The disenchantment
with advertising emerged, logically enough, from the spluttering growth
in many consumer-product industries over the last few years. From fast
food to fashion to electronics to toys, nearly every consumer business
has been affected. In part, the cause has less to do with advertising
that with changing demographics. "On one hand, we have increasing numbers
of marketers," says Tom Mandel, an SRI International management consultant,
"and those marketers are becoming more competitive. On the other hand,
consumer spending is growing at 2% per year. And there won't be much more
growth in that."
In its heyday, advertising did double duty. While it built brands and
market share for the companies that used it, advertising also expanded
the overall market by convincing nonconsumers of a product or service
to become consumers. The double-barreled firepower of advertising made
it a deadly marketing weapon. Now one of those barrels is plugged. "For
the past three years, for the first time in the history of our business
we noticed a flattening of the growth of the quick-service industry,"
says Peter Nelson, senior vice president of marketing at McDonald's Corp.
"In order to retain our growth, we looked to become a lot more aggressive
than in prior years. Now, to grow, you've got to take business away from
the other guy."
Diminishing confidence in advertising also has much to do with the clutter
of television, advertising's handmaiden. It has become commonplace to
say that television is vastly less effective than it once was in reaching
large audiences, and several times more expensive per customer. But most
large agencies are so experienced with mass marketing through television
that they find it difficult to wean themselves away from it.
But the most telling change is a sense that consumers themselves mistrust
advertising much more than they ever have before. "You can't pull wool
over consumers' eyes any more," says a marketing consultant, Jay Levinson,
the author of the book Guerrilla Marketing. "It used to easier, but people
now have built-in b.s. detectors thanks to all the advertising they've
seen."
Some marketers, of course, dispute that idea. Depending on whom you talk
to, customers are perceived as vastly more skeptical than they used to
be, hardly skeptical at all or so busy they don't have time to care, especially
about something like a brand of soap.
Instead of prompting a call for more creative campaigns, the new age
seems to be producing an unprecedented introspection in marketers- not
through any love of introspection, but because all else seems to fail.
Thanks to the repercussions of the Age of Mistrust, statements that would
have seemed heretical five years ago now seem like conventional wisdom.
This, for instance, from the SRI report: "What are the costs to businesses
of thousands of hours of commercials featuring mostly simple ad standardized
products, which are being noisily differentiated because they are actually
so similar? If the battle of the scouring pads makes business look simple
when in fact it is complex, trivial when in fact it is serious, and low
in information because there is nothing important to say about many highly
advertised products, then the price of this misunderstanding must be paid
by the overall economic system, which desperately needs consumers' trust,
intelligence, participation, commitment and respect."
The results are new types of relationships being forged by marketers
in this Age of Mistrust. It's too soon to say what those relationships
will be, but already it is clear that a new code of behavior is evolving.
This code will govern the personal relationships between people from different
firms who come together to work on the same projects for brief periods
of time. While interviewing people for this article, I detected considerable
suspicion- often half-whispered- among advertisers, agency people and
retailers.
But I have also begun to hear a sense, if not of trust, then at least
of grudging respect- it won't be easy to snow anyone anymore. The rules
of the game have changed, and the winners are negotiating with the currency
of their reputations. In an age of mistrust, that's the only way to have
a relationship.
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